Sunday, March 28, 2010
Market Scan NASDAQ and other US markets
Saturday, March 27, 2010
Market Scan - TSX
Here is an example of a scan I'll do when I'm looking for a swing trade on the TSX. The output window is shown below, along with a few stocks that i would consider entering on STOP orders, all are long entries.
The coloumns I generally look at in the output window are;
- AlphaLong when the market is in an uptrend
- NR7 - scans for narrow range bars in the last 7 bars
- Stochastics - below 40 - this just ensure I filter out stocks that have moved already
Behind the scenes in the scan I'm looking at the 5, 20, and 50 SMA, with a price cut off and volume cut off (55 day average volume more than 200K)
On the chart, the arrows are coloured, the legend is at the top of the chart. Notice the NR7 arrows....
I use Tipster Trendlines AFL code for Amibroker to place my trades. It's a great tool to place the trade right from the Amibroker chart. Interactive Brokers is who I use.
Sunday, August 24, 2008
Weekly Nasdaq Scan
Saturday, August 16, 2008
NASDAQ scan for upcoming week
This scan includes short interest as well. Watch the video for details. All the stocks are longs and all are on NASDAQ. You can also get the excel file for the NASDAQ Scan Aug16 2008.
Sunday, August 10, 2008
Software Applications for Trading
Here's what you need to interface between Amibroker and TWS to trade with trend lines and auto trade. I also do a scan of the TSX and update an earlier trade.
Scan of NASDAQ and short interest
Tonight I ran a scan of the NASDAQ looking for stocks that are in one of two categories, the same criteria used in the last video I posted. There is one addition, I have added the short interest to the output (not used in the filter, just displayed on the output)
1. 10 day MA > 20 day MA > 50 day MA and 50 day MA rising
2. 10 day MA < 20 day MA < 50 day MA and 50 day MA falling
Other filters are in there as well, simple things like today cannot be the highest high in the past 5 days, the 20 day avg volume has to be more than 200K, today cannot be the lowest low over the past 5 days. This is trying to catch a basic pull back, or a stock correcting over time in a range. Here is the link to the spreadsheet with the scan. In the video I explain the san results.
Saturday, August 9, 2008
Indicators
DAX, QQQQ, SPY, IWM, TSX Stocks, Forex, whatever you trade, price patterns and understanding why price moves is probably better than memorizing patterns. Take a look at a MACD divergence and a price chart that uses the same MA's as the MACD. Find a divergence. Look at the patterns of higher highs and lowers lows. Notice that you can see these if you look. I find the most use for indicators is to filter my scan results.
Here is an interesting concept that I have looked at, it comes from some forum somewhere. I believe it has merit.
Crossover systems will generally do well when traded intraday, not so good when traded of daily prices. By substituting different filters based on the most recent action of the chosen market, you can use their basic rules (idea) forever. You can program this to be self adjusting (auto optimize).
As part of my exploration scan for trending stocks, I use the double stochastic, it filters out stocks that aren't pulling back quite to where I would like to see. This is a good use for an indicator, not as sole selection criteria. Support and resistance, and a dose of anticipation.
Wednesday, August 6, 2008
Short Interest and the Short Squeeze
Sunday, August 3, 2008
Scans
Check back frequently, I'll be posting scans for the TSX and the US markets. The TSX scans are based on momentum buys. The US market scans are for short interest. You can use the short interest scan to look at some charts and select those that look poised to move on a short squeeze.
Thursday, May 15, 2008
Scan - for May16, 2008
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
NASDAQ Scan
May 14, 2008
Saturday, December 29, 2007
Dec 29 Trends
Sunday, December 23, 2007
The TREND Scan
A while back I posted this Post. Now I want to know how exactly to interpret what the table was telling me. So I ran the scan for a few months back to see the story the table was telling, and then looked at what happened on the charts. Then I searched for and read the Livermore trading rules. I'm going to take a stab at this with the little research I've done (no back testing etc., just looking through charts to figure out how to use the table).
Here is the scan I ran today on the FOREX market.
Here is what I would do (simulated trading exercise) -
Short all the rows with 3 RED cells except for GBPNZD and GBPCHF. I don't really like the looks of GBPAUD but it looks like it will go red based on the H&S pattern it has completed today, so I would probably short that as well. The prices I would use to short would be based on interday charts but for this exercise, lets say its half way between open and close of the day before. Trailing stops would be the high of the day before.
Long all the rows with 2 GREEN cells. Buy price would be halfway between the open and close of the previous day (or no entry). Trailing stops would be the low of the day before.
I'll record these and see what happens. I wonder what the holiday season trading will be like, if the price levels will be impacted. I figure the volatility will be low.
More info on the screen rules.
The screen is based on the Livermore rules; below is an except from a web site on this trader.
All successful stock and commodity traders have rules for buying and selling. Many traders today still use the trading rules Jesse Livermore first devised almost a century ago.
Jesse Livermore constructed his rules over several years while he learned by trial and error what worked on the markets. He was guided by one of his favorite principles:
"There is nothing new in Wall Street. There can't be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again."
Trading Rules
- Buy rising stocks and sell falling stocks.
- Do not trade every day of every year. Trade only when the market is clearly bullish or bearish. Trade in the direction of the general market. If it's rising you should be long, if it's falling you should be short.
- Co-ordinate your trading activity with pivot points.
- Only enter a trade after the action of the market confirms your opinion and then enter promptly.
- Continue with trades that show you a profit, end trades that show a loss.
- End trades when it is clear that the trend you are profiting from is over.
- In any sector, trade the leading stock - the one showing the strongest trend.
- Never average losses by, for example, buying more of a stock that has fallen.
- Never meet a margin call - get out of the trade.
- Go long when stocks reach a new high. Sell short when they reach a new low.
- Don't become an involuntary investor by holding onto stocks whose price has fallen.
- A stock is never too high to buy and never too low to short.
- Markets are never wrong - opinions often are.
- The highest profits are made in trades that show a profit right from the start.
- No trading rules will deliver a profit 100 percent of the time.
Monday, December 10, 2007
FOREX Trend Scan
Weekly
Notice anything? EURGBP is in an uptrend on all time frames.
Scans by the dozen
Here are some scans of the recent market activity, US only, I don't have enough time to do Canadian tonight.
Trending Scan
The first is a trending scan. The trend is your friend. If your into buy and hold, this is for you. These are leaders. Someone said to me once "follow the leader", I replied "sure thing, as long as they're going in the direction I want to go!" This applies to stock too. Here's a pic of the scan, click to get it from google thing-a-ma-jig.Here is the "All-in-one-scan" that I posted when this blog first started.
Here it is.
Tuesday, July 31, 2007
Scans - Aug 1 2007
Here is the scans spreadsheet for Aug 1, 2007.
I'm still working on the Stockbee scans, a few are done but all are not finished yet. I may include some component of his "market monitor". The market monitor is used to determine if it is appropriate to enter long or short or stay in cash.
In addition, I am starting to code the back testing for all these scans. My goal is to use the market monitor with the scans to find the best combination for the market at any given time. This will hopefully keep me in long trades for bull market, short trades for bear markets. What about sideways markets? I just finished reading about pivot points and it looks like a good method for sideways markets. Weekly pivots seems like a sound approach but testing should give me more insight. Once done some testing, I'll post the results.
More to come later...
Sunday, July 22, 2007
Scan Results for 7/23/2007
The scan results are available in spreadsheet format, you can get the spreadsheet here. The volume filter is set a little high for this exchange to limit the number of hits I get.
Let me know what you think, comments please.....
Filter details, and explanations
Many of the filters / scans listed and described below are taken from authors of other blogs, in the public domain. These blogs typically apply the strategies to the US markets. The results of the ‘TSX Trends’ filters are for stocks listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE). Care should be taken when trading these stocks as some can have very choppy volume, although I do use a volume filter to some degree. It should be noted that inter listed stocks exist and have higher volume that is spread out over many markets, due to higher participation that includes US markets. These stocks are not great in number though.
The spreadsheet has many columns. Each column has a ‘1’ or ‘0’. A ‘1’ indicates that the stock meets the scans criteria for the day. Here is a brief explanation of what the scans are looking for.
Up Trend – This is not actually a scan but an indication of trend. It uses the 10, 20, and 50 day MA’s. On a weekly time frame, the 10 must be above the 20, the 20 must be above the 50, and the close must be above all MA’s. On a daily time frame, the close, 10, and 20 must all be above the 50 in any order, and the 50 must be rising. The purpose of this is to indicate that the stock is in a clear trend, this may or may not be relevant to the type of trade you are looking for. Using just the price squeeze, for example, looking for a quick price move, the direction of the move would most likely be in the direction of the main trend. I also use this to identify stocks to trade similar to the way AlphaTrends trades.
Down Trend - This is not actually a scan but an indication of trend. It is the opposite of the Up Trend description above.
Price Squeeze – This is a comparison between Bollinger Bands and Keltner Bands, as a ratio. The ratio has to be greater than 2 to trigger this. Price usually moves strong, short term, once the range is broken.
The Rocket – This is a bounce off the bottom filter. Looks to buy stocks that have come down hard finding buyers to quickly take it for a ride up. This scan is from Stockmonster. Basically it looks for a low rsi(2) after an 8% decline over 2 days. The blog has descriptions and results of trading with the results of this scan.
The Crash – This is the opposite of the Rocket, you could say this is a bounce off the top filter. From Stockmonster.
BOBv32x – This filter finds pullbacks, go long. BOB = Blow-off-bottom. There is a good post at Woodshedder’s blog on this filter.
3C – This uses a custom cumulative TSV indicator thought up by Bull Trader of Trade Guild. I only use it as a confirmation of money flow into a stock. TradeGuild uses his 3C indicator in other ways. I have attempted to copy the indy since he will not give out the formula, it is close but not quite there yet. Don’t bother asking me for my version, until Bull Trader releases his.
MA Crossover – This uses a 4, 8 and 21 day EMA. The filter looks for stocks that hove crossed all three in one day with the close above all 3 EMA’s. The MA cross was posted on FilteringWallStreet. The link above gets you to a post where he explains how the cross over works.
Filter 1 – Read about it here. A high Average Day Range 30 (ADR30) and a low rsi(2) works best. Muddy also tells me that a very high rsi(2) also works well. He buys as soon as the price “goes green” which means above the close of the prior day.
Filter 4 – Read about it here. This looks for an 8% rise in price, then waits for the price to pull back into the “Muddy Zone” which is the area between the SMA10 and EMA30
Wait for green and put in a 3% stop, you don’t get taken out too often, according to Muddy.
Rise – This one looks for a 25% increase in price in the last month. These stocks can be held for the longer term. When used in conjunction with another filter, it gives a good entry for a long term hold for your portfolio. Muddy, Green on the Screen, used this and I understand he originally got the idea from Stockbee.
Total – A tally of all the other filters.
Monday, July 9, 2007
Additional Screeners
I'm working on incorporating a few new scans. Some of these are based on scans described on "Green on the screen" blog. Once these are done I'll post some results. If you have any screeners you find profitable, I am willing to include them if they make sense. I'm also looking at adding a weekly screener for longer term hold. This would be posted on the weekend.